Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -500 MTST +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +4 | 212 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -10.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+59.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -8.9 (-4.9) | 149.3 (+62.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -8.5 (-4.5) | 148.3 (+63.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -8.7 (-4.7) | 149.1 (+62.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -9.8 (-5.8) | 151.4 (+60.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MTST 70 – 60 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-7 |
| Away | 10-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#113) | -0.68 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#121) | -0.80 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.463 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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