Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MTST -230 EWU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MTST -7.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -5.1 (+4.9) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -5.2 (+4.8) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -4.6 (+5.4) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -5.1 (+4.9) | 141.6 (-3.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MTST 70 – 60 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#171) | -4.9 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#253) | -1.28 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#215) | -1.51 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#274) | 0.421 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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