Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | EWU +124 MTST -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -3.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -5.0 (+1.0) | 150.6 (-18.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -2.4 (-1.6) | 147.8 (-15.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -4.3 (+0.3) | 148.3 (-16.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -4.0 (+0.0) | 149.5 (-17.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MTST 70 – 60 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#242) | 2.4 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#331) | -0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#321) | 0.03 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#331) | 0.502 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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