Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -550 UAPB +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +10 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -5.6 (+4.4) | 160.6 (+7.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -6.4 (+3.6) | 156.7 (+11.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -6.0 (+4.0) | 156.6 (+11.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -5.3 (+4.7) | 158.0 (+10.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 67 UAPB |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AAMU 63 – 62 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-9 | 4-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -19.3 (#362) | -23.6 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#359) | -3.06 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#356) | -3.99 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#362) | 0.376 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 61.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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