Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -154 UAPB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -2.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -2.8 (+5.2) | 152.4 (-10.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -2.9 (+5.1) | 154.7 (-12.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -2.3 (+5.7) | 154.8 (-12.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -2.9 (+5.1) | 152.9 (-10.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AAMU 89 – 79 UAPB |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AAMU 63 – 62 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-15 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#341) | -12.6 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#320) | -1.61 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#332) | -2.27 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#322) | 0.429 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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