Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -700 SJSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -10.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -8.8 (-2.8) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UNLV -10.0 (-4.0) | 140.3 (+11.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UNLV -8.8 (-2.8) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -8.7 (-2.7) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UNLV 76 – 62 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 50 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UNLV 77 – 65 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#107) | -2.0 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#101) | -0.76 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#96) | -0.88 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#117) | 0.463 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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