Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +138 UNLV -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -2.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -1.3 (-10.7) | 147.6 (-5.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -2.0 (-10.0) | 146.7 (-4.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -1.1 (-10.9) | 147.9 (-5.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -1.9 (-10.1) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UNLV 76 – 62 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNLV 79 – 73 SJSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#184) | 4.8 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#218) | 0.69 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#208) | 0.84 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#240) | 0.554 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.