Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -1400 SJSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -13.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -12.9 (+5.1) | 139.3 (-21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -11.4 (+6.6) | 137.9 (-19.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -12.4 (+5.6) | 140.3 (-22.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -12.9 (+5.1) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UNLV 76 – 62 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNLV 79 – 73 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UNLV 77 – 65 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-4 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#83) | -3.6 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#71) | -0.77 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#83) | -0.87 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#52) | 0.457 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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