Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +270 UNLV -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -0.4 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -0.6 (-13.4) | 146.1 (-8.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -0.8 (-13.2) | 147.4 (-9.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -0.6 (-13.4) | 149.3 (-11.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -0.4 (-13.6) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNLV 79 – 73 SJSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 50 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UNLV 77 – 65 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-10 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#228) | -0.0 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#242) | 0.06 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#237) | -0.15 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#233) | 0.502 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.