Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–17 on winners spread MAE 8.9 62 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic -2.4 160.4 34% 90–62 ✓
Radford @ High Point +4.9 140.3 72% 58–76 ✓
Army @ Colgate +1.7 147.6 61% 59–71 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +0.1 135.0 48% 46–60 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +2.3 143.4 68% 64–66 ✓
American University @ Navy +0.2 143.6 53% 58–81 ✓
Northwestern @ Penn State +6.0 145.6 74% 80–84 ✓
Southern Miss @ James Madison +10.7 137.9 84% 72–83 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia State -7.2 137.5 23% 77–51 ✓
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +7.7 148.8 77% 82–90 ✓
Texas State @ Marshall -0.9 141.8 44% 71–77 ✗
Louisiana @ Coastal Carolina +5.8 136.2 69% 71–68 ✗
Arkansas State @ Old Dominion -11.8 149.3 16% 78–59 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy -0.7 142.7 43% 76–78 ✗
Milwaukee @ Oakland -1.9 147.1 42% 49–65 ✗
Green Bay @ Wright State +9.3 153.2 83% 51–74 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina A&T -7.4 145.7 22% 75–67 ✓
Hampton @ Charleston +5.6 146.0 71% 67–94 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +5.2 145.3 71% 74–56 ✗
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +7.2 134.2 72% 65–61 ✗
Delaware @ Northeastern +5.4 151.1 73% 77–80 ✓
Drexel @ Campbell -2.7 135.9 42% 54–57 ✗
Stony Brook @ Monmouth +3.8 141.2 65% 56–78 ✓
Stetson @ Queens University +11.0 151.1 86% 87–96 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama +15.7 149.5 89% 66–82 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville -6.2 138.3 24% 70–65 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ West Georgia -7.9 138.4 25% 79–68 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International -2.3 146.0 41% 73–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Liberty +9.7 140.7 75% 71–70 ✗
Purdue @ Minnesota -6.5 138.2 25% 81–61 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +3.0 145.4 62% 74–68 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +0.8 142.5 50% 72–67 ✗
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +7.6 150.6 78% 72–89 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -7.6 153.7 27% 98–89 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State +5.0 154.6 68% 89–85 ✗
South Dakota @ Kansas City +2.2 151.1 63% 54–68 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota +1.4 150.1 55% 95–85 ✗
Rutgers @ Indiana +6.1 152.2 76% 74–84 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -6.0 147.8 35% 89–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +4.2 143.9 66% 64–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State -3.6 149.4 29% 67–65 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Martin +0.9 131.1 41% 57–56 ✗
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois +1.7 140.7 61% 74–78 ✓
Portland @ Gonzaga +29.1 157.7 91% 50–81 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho +0.1 149.1 54% 64–69 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington -0.4 150.8 55% 92–81 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota State +13.4 149.8 85% 70–91 ✓
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +5.8 134.4 69% 66–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +0.4 140.9 57% 60–70 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State +1.6 152.4 60% 71–75 ✓
Maryland @ Washington -9.1 144.6 21% 69–75 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.0 136.8 55% 64–75 ✓
Illinois @ Oregon +3.1 150.4 63% 109–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton -6.3 141.0 30% 95–65 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State -3.0 140.4 37% 76–60 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +11.9 142.9 85% 41–71 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -10.8 149.1 15% 81–80 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific -10.8 140.0 16% 89–81 ✓
Oregon State @ Loyola Marymount -5.5 137.1 29% 61–82 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +1.1 135.4 55% 64–61 ✗
Fairfield @ Merrimack +9.0 134.0 80% 54–67 ✓
Akron @ Bowling Green -3.6 153.0 38% 71–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.