Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WGA +290 FGCU -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +11 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -7.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -7.1 (-3.9) | 136.4 (+10.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -8.2 (-2.8) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -7.9 (-3.1) | 138.4 (+8.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -8.4 (-2.6) | 135.1 (+11.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 72 WGA |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 60 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#328) | 1.7 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#331) | -0.14 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#335) | -0.22 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#335) | 0.519 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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