Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -1200 WGA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +22 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -15.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -10.4 (+11.6) | 141.4 (+0.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -11.7 (+10.3) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -11.8 (+10.2) | 143.2 (-1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -11.6 (+10.4) | 142.2 (-0.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 72 WGA |
| Jan 3, 2025 | FGCU 79 – 68 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#158) | -11.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#180) | -2.36 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#181) | -3.26 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#161) | 0.395 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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