Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -470 WGA +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +18 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -10.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -9.1 (+8.9) | 154.3 (+7.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -7.2 (+10.8) | 152.4 (+9.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -6.9 (+11.1) | 152.2 (+9.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -8.5 (+9.5) | 155.0 (+7.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 60 WGA |
| Jan 3, 2025 | FGCU 79 – 68 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#219) | -10.0 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#278) | -0.88 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#253) | -1.87 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#265) | 0.470 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.