Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | IU -380 RUTG +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | IU -5.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -5.9 (+4.1) | 152.6 (+5.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -5.7 (+4.3) | 153.7 (+4.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -6.5 (+3.5) | 152.2 (+5.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -6.1 (+3.9) | 152.2 (+5.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | IU 82 – 59 RUTG |
| Jan 10, 2024 | RUTG 66 – 57 IU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | IU 66 – 60 RUTG |
| Dec 3, 2022 | RUTG 63 – 48 IU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RUTG 66 – 63 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#67) | 7.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#65) | 1.13 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#62) | 1.82 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#38) | 0.568 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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