And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Big Ten Conference · Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · March 3, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread IU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total IU win
Actual RUTG +3 129 Lost
Massey IU -6.6 (-9.6) — —
Massey Totals — 129.1 (-0.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML IU -4.7 (-7.7) 135.8 (-6.8) 64% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IU -5.4 (-8.4) 133.7 (-4.7) 65% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML IU -5.5 (-8.5) 134.6 (-5.6) 69% ✗
Baseline ML IU -5.4 (-8.4) 135.9 (-6.9) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 IU 82 – 59 RUTG
Jan 3, 2025 IU 84 – 74 RUTG
Jan 10, 2024 RUTG 66 – 57 IU
Feb 7, 2023 IU 66 – 60 RUTG
Dec 3, 2022 RUTG 63 – 48 IU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IU RUTG
Overall 21-14 18-14
Conference 9-11 12-8
Home 14-4 14-3
Away 3-8 4-9
Neutral 4-2 0-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.8 68.5
Avg Pts Against 66.2 66.5
Massey 10.9 (#40) 7.1 (#82)
Bradley-Terry 1.82 (#51) 1.56 (#63)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.27 (#47) 2.19 (#52)
RPI 0.557 (#68) 0.526 (#122)
Shooting & Four Factors IU RUTG
FG% 46.0% 44.2%
3PT% 34.2% 33.3%
REB / G 36.9 36.0
OREB / G 9.1 10.4
AST / TO 1.19 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 49.4%
TOV% 17.9% 17.7%
ORB% 27.2% 29.9%
FT Rate 24.1% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.0% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 18.4%
DRB% 75.6% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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