Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | IU -225 RUTG +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -2.1 (+3.9) | 136.5 (-10.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -3.2 (+2.8) | 136.4 (-10.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -3.1 (+2.9) | 134.2 (-8.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -2.6 (+3.4) | 133.6 (-7.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | IU 82 – 59 RUTG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | IU 84 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 10, 2024 | RUTG 66 – 57 IU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | RUTG 63 – 48 IU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RUTG 66 – 63 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#19) | 15.2 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#24) | 1.88 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#20) | 2.36 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#33) | 0.575 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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