Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG +270 IU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +23 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -11.1 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -8.9 (-14.1) | 144.8 (-3.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -8.2 (-14.8) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -7.6 (-15.4) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -8.6 (-14.4) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | IU 84 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 10, 2024 | RUTG 66 – 57 IU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | IU 66 – 60 RUTG |
| Dec 3, 2022 | RUTG 63 – 48 IU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RUTG 66 – 63 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | 15.2 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#123) | 1.53 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#132) | 2.09 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#151) | 0.561 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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