I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -4.0 Home covered
O/U 141.0 Under
Money RUTG -180 / IU +152
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +9 123 Won
Massey RUTG -6.6 (+2.4)
Massey Totals 135.6 (-12.6)
Bradley-Terry 47%
Weighted B-T 57%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -5.1 (+3.9) 137.3 (-14.3) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -4.2 (+4.8) 138.5 (-15.5) 67%
Baseline ML RUTG -4.2 (+4.8) 139.9 (-16.9) 68%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -4.1 (+4.9) 140.4 (-17.4) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 IU 8259 RUTG
Jan 3, 2025 IU 8474 RUTG
Feb 7, 2023 IU 6660 RUTG
Dec 3, 2022 RUTG 6348 IU
Mar 3, 2022 RUTG 6663 IU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG IU
Overall 15-17 19-14
Conference 7-13 10-10
Home 12-5 12-5
Away 3-9 4-6
Neutral 0-3 3-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 72.3
Avg Pts Against 66.5 74.3
Massey 5.7 (#91) 3.2 (#120)
Bradley-Terry 0.99 (#96) 1.91 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.58 (#83) 2.19 (#56)
RPI 0.542 (#107) 0.601 (#37)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG IU
FG% 39.7% 48.9%
3PT% 29.1% 34.0%
REB / G 38.2 35.4
OREB / G 12.6 9.0
AST / TO 1.06 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.7% 53.3%
TOV% 16.2% 17.4%
ORB% 31.3% 28.1%
FT Rate 24.3% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.6% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 22.4% 16.2%
DRB% 67.2% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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