Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | NCAT +230 ELON -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -7.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -6.6 (-1.4) | 146.2 (-4.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -7.3 (-0.7) | 148.4 (-6.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -8.3 (+0.3) | 146.1 (-4.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -7.4 (-0.6) | 145.7 (-3.7) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NCAT 102 – 82 ELON |
| Jan 9, 2026 | ELON 69 – 64 NCAT |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NCAT 60 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 3, 2024 | ELON 69 – 65 NCAT |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ELON 77 – 59 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCAT | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#312) | 2.6 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#335) | 0.18 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#338) | 0.31 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#326) | 0.494 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCAT | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.