Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU +195 AKR -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -3.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -3.6 (+0.6) | 154.5 (-15.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -4.1 (+1.1) | 155.3 (-16.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.8 (+0.8) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -3.6 (+0.6) | 153.0 (-14.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | AKR 77 – 67 BGSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | AKR 96 – 67 BGSU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AKR 83 – 67 BGSU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | AKR 74 – 70 BGSU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | AKR 82 – 68 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 17-1 |
| Home | 8-8 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#295) | 0.0 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#320) | -0.24 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#337) | -0.29 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#348) | 0.486 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.