Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -340 ILST +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -5.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -3.3 (-9.3) | 143.9 (-1.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -3.2 (-9.2) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -3.0 (-9.0) | 145.4 (-3.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -4.0 (-10.0) | 146.0 (-4.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ILST 78 – 61 MUR |
| Jan 29, 2026 | ILST 70 – 65 MUR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | ILST 61 – 59 MUR |
| Dec 3, 2023 | ILST 76 – 72 MUR |
| Feb 16, 2023 | MUR 76 – 75 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#126) | 0.7 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#170) | 0.02 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | 0.09 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#144) | 0.494 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.