Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | CP +300 UCI -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +9 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -7.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.9 (-0.1) | 152.5 (+34.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.4 (-0.6) | 155.8 (+31.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.6 (-0.4) | 152.1 (+34.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -7.6 (-1.4) | 153.7 (+33.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCI 82 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#198) | 9.2 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#210) | 2.42 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#221) | 2.74 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.618 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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