Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -24.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -21.7 (-7.7) | 142.7 (+7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -19.6 (-5.6) | 141.9 (+8.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -20.3 (-6.3) | 140.9 (+9.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -21.8 (-7.8) | 140.7 (+9.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 0-20 |
| Home | 13-0 | 3-11 |
| Away | 8-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#71) | -12.5 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#80) | -2.47 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#82) | -3.03 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#56) | 0.373 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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