Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -2000 CP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +30 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -18.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -18.1 (+11.9) | 153.7 (+18.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -17.6 (+12.4) | 161.6 (+10.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -16.6 (+13.4) | 153.3 (+18.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -17.1 (+12.9) | 152.4 (+19.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCI 82 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 14-3 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 83.4 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#54) | -4.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#26) | -0.87 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#36) | -1.21 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#22) | 0.458 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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