Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -470 CP +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +22 | 192 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -10.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+36.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.9 (+11.1) | 150.6 (+41.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.1 (+12.9) | 146.5 (+45.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.9 (+12.1) | 146.9 (+45.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -9.6 (+12.4) | 146.9 (+45.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCI 82 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 85.3 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#122) | -3.9 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#115) | -0.44 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#120) | -0.53 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#85) | 0.481 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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