Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -140 UL +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -9.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -5.5 (-8.5) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -3.7 (-6.7) | 134.9 (+4.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -4.8 (-7.8) | 137.3 (+1.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -5.8 (-8.8) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CCU 69 – 65 UL |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UL 80 – 66 CCU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UL 85 – 77 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CCU 77 – 76 UL |
| Jan 1, 2022 | UL 65 – 64 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-12 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#266) | -11.1 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#296) | -2.06 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#303) | -2.42 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#308) | 0.429 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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