Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UL -800 CCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UL -10.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -9.0 (+5.0) | 143.8 (+2.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -10.6 (+3.4) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -9.0 (+5.0) | 146.5 (-0.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -8.8 (+5.2) | 143.3 (+2.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CCU 69 – 65 UL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UL 71 – 68 CCU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UL 85 – 77 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CCU 77 – 76 UL |
| Jan 1, 2022 | UL 65 – 64 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-11 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#141) | -9.2 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#152) | -1.81 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#151) | -2.07 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#117) | 0.405 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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