Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UL -600 CCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UL -13.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -10.0 (-2.0) | 144.3 (+17.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -12.1 (-4.1) | 144.6 (+17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -10.3 (-2.3) | 146.9 (+15.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -10.1 (-2.1) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CCU 69 – 65 UL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UL 71 – 68 CCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UL 80 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CCU 77 – 76 UL |
| Jan 1, 2022 | UL 65 – 64 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-11 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#154) | -8.0 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#178) | -2.40 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#167) | -2.74 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#171) | 0.358 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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