Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -6.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -5.2 (-6.2) | 141.7 (-12.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -3.7 (-4.7) | 139.9 (-10.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -6.0 (-7.0) | 141.2 (-12.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -5.0 (-6.0) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CCU 69 – 65 UL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UL 71 – 68 CCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UL 80 – 66 CCU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UL 85 – 77 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CCU 77 – 76 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-9 |
| Home | 13-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#118) | 1.3 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#144) | -0.16 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#143) | -0.01 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#125) | 0.473 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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