Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +150 UL -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UL -3.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -2.7 (+3.7) | 150.9 (+2.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -2.1 (+3.1) | 150.5 (+2.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -2.7 (+3.7) | 150.5 (+2.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -1.7 (+2.7) | 151.3 (+1.7) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CCU 69 – 65 UL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UL 71 – 68 CCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UL 80 – 66 CCU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UL 85 – 77 CCU |
| Jan 1, 2022 | UL 65 – 64 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-0 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#289) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#168) | 1.65 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#180) | 1.88 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#152) | 0.571 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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