Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 3, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -13.5 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money WRST -1200 / GB +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +23 125 Won
Massey WRST -12.1 (+10.9) — —
Massey Totals — 160.0 (-35.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -10.6 (+12.4) 150.9 (-25.9) 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -9.6 (+13.4) 147.4 (-22.4) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -10.2 (+12.8) 151.9 (-26.9) 84% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -9.3 (+13.7) 153.2 (-28.2) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 83 – 75 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 86 – 58 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 79 – 68 WRST
Jan 19, 2024 GB 88 – 81 WRST
Dec 29, 2023 GB 88 – 77 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST GB
Overall 15-18 4-28
Conference 8-12 2-18
Home 11-4 3-11
Away 3-12 1-17
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.5 69.9
Avg Pts Against 77.5 80.6
Massey -1.6 (#190) -9.6 (#320)
Bradley-Terry -0.33 (#200) -2.42 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#173) -2.66 (#331)
RPI 0.482 (#199) 0.395 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST GB
FG% 48.8% 45.3%
3PT% 38.3% 33.2%
REB / G 32.4 28.4
OREB / G 6.8 5.4
AST / TO 1.23 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.2% 53.5%
TOV% 16.4% 19.3%
ORB% 21.8% 17.2%
FT Rate 18.8% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 15.5%
DRB% 73.0% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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