So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 3, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -13.5 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money WRST -1200 / GB +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +23 125 Won
Massey WRST -12.1 (+10.9)
Massey Totals 160.0 (-35.0)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML WRST -9.6 (+13.4) 147.4 (-22.4) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -10.2 (+12.8) 151.9 (-26.9) 84%
Baseline ML WRST -9.3 (+13.7) 153.2 (-28.2) 83%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -10.6 (+12.4) 150.9 (-25.9) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 8375 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 8658 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 7968 WRST
Jan 19, 2024 GB 8881 WRST
Dec 29, 2023 GB 8877 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST GB
Overall 15-18 4-28
Conference 8-12 2-18
Home 11-4 3-11
Away 3-12 1-17
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.5 69.9
Avg Pts Against 77.5 80.6
Massey -1.6 (#190) -9.6 (#320)
Bradley-Terry -0.33 (#200) -2.42 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#173) -2.66 (#331)
RPI 0.482 (#199) 0.395 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST GB
FG% 48.8% 45.3%
3PT% 38.3% 33.2%
REB / G 32.4 28.4
OREB / G 6.8 5.4
AST / TO 1.23 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.2% 53.5%
TOV% 16.4% 19.3%
ORB% 21.8% 17.2%
FT Rate 18.8% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 15.5%
DRB% 73.0% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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