Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Horizon League · Resch Center · February 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money GB +150 / WRST -180
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual WRST +8 158 Lost
Massey WRST -4.0 (-4.0)
Massey Totals 145.6 (+12.4)
Bradley-Terry 50%
Weighted B-T 41%
Efficiency Plus ML WRST -3.2 (-4.8) 146.3 (+11.7) 40%
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -2.5 (-5.5) 143.5 (+14.5) 40%
Baseline ML WRST -2.4 (-5.6) 145.4 (+12.6) 39%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -2.5 (-5.5) 144.8 (+13.2) 39%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 WRST 8658 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 7968 WRST
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 7451 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 8881 WRST
Dec 29, 2023 GB 8877 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB WRST
Overall 18-15 23-12
Conference 12-8 15-5
Home 10-4 11-5
Away 6-9 9-5
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.9 79.8
Avg Pts Against 75.9 75.6
Massey -4.8 (#240) 2.2 (#135)
Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#184) 0.41 (#128)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.37 (#201) 0.58 (#121)
RPI 0.518 (#136) 0.524 (#125)
Shooting & Four Factors GB WRST
FG% 47.6% 48.5%
3PT% 35.9% 35.7%
REB / G 30.1 34.2
OREB / G 7.3 10.6
AST / TO 1.25 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 54.6%
TOV% 16.3% 16.7%
ORB% 24.6% 32.0%
FT Rate 32.2% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 17.2%
DRB% 70.8% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 27.0% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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