I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 29, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -8.0 Home covered
O/U 146.0 Over
Money GB +278 / WRST -355
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +11 165 Won
Massey WRST -1.0 (+12.0)
Massey Totals 152.3 (+12.7)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 37%
Efficiency Plus ML WRST -3.2 (+14.2) 147.9 (+17.1) 44%
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -1.4 (+12.4) 145.3 (+19.7) 47%
Baseline ML WRST -0.9 (+11.9) 147.3 (+17.7) 48%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -2.0 (+13.0) 145.9 (+19.1) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 8375 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 8658 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 7968 WRST
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 7451 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 8881 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB WRST
Overall 18-14 18-14
Conference 13-7 13-7
Home 10-5 9-7
Away 8-8 7-6
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.6 86.2
Avg Pts Against 70.2 82.8
Massey -4.5 (#253) 0.9 (#157)
Bradley-Terry -0.69 (#248) -0.12 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.32 (#271) 0.31 (#165)
RPI 0.468 (#232) 0.501 (#170)
Shooting & Four Factors GB WRST
FG% 42.5% 51.8%
3PT% 31.8% 34.5%
REB / G 33.1 34.0
OREB / G 8.5 9.9
AST / TO 0.75 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 56.4%
TOV% 22.1% 17.0%
ORB% 26.6% 30.3%
FT Rate 18.0% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 56.5%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 16.5%
DRB% 70.0% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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