Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -290 GB +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +28 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -10.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -4.8 (+23.2) | 142.8 (+1.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -6.8 (+21.2) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -5.5 (+22.5) | 141.9 (+2.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -5.2 (+22.8) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | WRST 83 – 75 GB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GB 79 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 3, 2025 | WRST 74 – 51 GB |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GB 88 – 81 WRST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | GB 88 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#142) | -3.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#275) | -0.13 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#265) | 0.04 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#215) | 0.530 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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