We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Horizon League · Resch Center · February 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -8.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money GB +360 / WRST -500
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +11 147 Won
Massey WRST -6.9 (+17.9) — —
Massey Totals — 155.0 (-8.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 11% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WRST -6.9 (+17.9) 148.4 (-1.4) 34% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -7.1 (+18.1) 146.8 (+0.2) 31% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -6.1 (+17.1) 146.9 (+0.1) 25% ✗
Baseline ML WRST -6.4 (+17.4) 147.9 (-0.9) 31% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 83 – 75 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 86 – 58 GB
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 74 – 51 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 88 – 81 WRST
Dec 29, 2023 GB 88 – 77 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB WRST
Overall 4-28 15-18
Conference 2-18 8-12
Home 3-11 11-4
Away 1-17 3-12
Neutral 0-0 1-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 76.5
Avg Pts Against 80.6 77.5
Massey -12.1 (#336) -2.0 (#197)
Bradley-Terry -2.85 (#354) -0.37 (#206)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.08 (#343) -0.33 (#195)
RPI 0.391 (#346) 0.486 (#205)
Shooting & Four Factors GB WRST
FG% 43.4% 48.2%
3PT% 33.0% 38.8%
REB / G 28.4 35.0
OREB / G 5.0 9.0
AST / TO 1.00 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 55.3%
TOV% 19.2% 17.3%
ORB% 16.1% 27.2%
FT Rate 27.4% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 14.0%
DRB% 67.7% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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