Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | FIU +150 MTSU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MTSU -2.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -2.3 (-1.7) | 147.6 (-5.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -3.0 (-1.0) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -2.3 (-1.7) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -2.3 (-1.7) | 146.0 (-4.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MTSU 73 – 67 FIU |
| Feb 5, 2026 | FIU 88 – 84 MTSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MTSU 78 – 56 FIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 – 66 FIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MTSU 79 – 61 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#229) | 2.9 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#309) | 0.79 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#300) | 0.64 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#341) | 0.571 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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