Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU -270 FIU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | MTSU -5.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -4.8 (-8.8) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -5.6 (-9.6) | 147.1 (+24.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -4.4 (-8.4) | 145.7 (+26.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -4.9 (-8.9) | 146.5 (+25.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MTSU 73 – 67 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MTSU 78 – 56 FIU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MTSU 73 – 69 FIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 – 66 FIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MTSU 79 – 61 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#149) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#171) | -0.80 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#179) | -0.83 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#103) | 0.479 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.