Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LMU +120 ORST -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -6.6 (+27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -5.4 (+26.4) | 134.8 (+8.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -5.0 (+26.0) | 136.2 (+6.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -5.5 (+26.5) | 137.1 (+5.9) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -4.9 (+25.9) | 136.3 (+6.7) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | ORST 72 – 69 LMU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ORST 76 – 70 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#181) | 9.5 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#138) | 1.89 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#138) | 2.57 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#141) | 0.555 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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