Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -185 USI +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -6.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -3.6 (+0.4) | 145.0 (-13.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -4.4 (-0.4) | 143.5 (-11.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -4.5 (-0.5) | 142.7 (-10.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -4.2 (-0.2) | 143.9 (-11.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TNTC 82 – 74 USI |
| Jan 16, 2026 | USI 71 – 54 TNTC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TNTC 78 – 65 USI |
| Feb 2, 2024 | USI 74 – 71 TNTC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TNTC 73 – 59 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#272) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#260) | -1.91 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#285) | -2.52 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#222) | 0.366 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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