Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | USI -138 TNTC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -5.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -3.0 (-17.0) | 140.1 (-8.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -3.0 (-17.0) | 139.3 (-7.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -3.8 (-17.8) | 136.2 (-4.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -3.3 (-17.3) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TNTC 82 – 74 USI |
| Jan 16, 2026 | USI 71 – 54 TNTC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TNTC 78 – 65 USI |
| Jan 3, 2025 | TNTC 68 – 64 USI |
| Feb 2, 2024 | USI 74 – 71 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#320) | -11.2 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#330) | -2.05 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#329) | -2.72 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#315) | 0.415 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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