Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -225 USI +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +17 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -7.1 (-24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -5.0 (-22.0) | 141.6 (-16.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -5.1 (-22.1) | 140.9 (-15.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -4.8 (-21.8) | 137.9 (-12.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -4.9 (-21.9) | 137.1 (-12.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TNTC 82 – 74 USI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TNTC 78 – 65 USI |
| Jan 3, 2025 | TNTC 68 – 64 USI |
| Feb 2, 2024 | USI 74 – 71 TNTC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TNTC 73 – 59 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#306) | -13.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#274) | -3.33 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#278) | -3.92 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#269) | 0.333 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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