Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | USI -105 TNTC -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -1.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -0.5 (-7.5) | 140.2 (+15.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.5 (-7.5) | 137.5 (+18.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -1.1 (-6.9) | 138.4 (+17.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -1.4 (-6.6) | 139.2 (+16.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | USI 71 – 54 TNTC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TNTC 78 – 65 USI |
| Jan 3, 2025 | TNTC 68 – 64 USI |
| Feb 2, 2024 | USI 74 – 71 TNTC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TNTC 73 – 59 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#338) | -11.1 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#356) | -1.88 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#353) | -2.43 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#363) | 0.435 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.