Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -110 USI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -3.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.1 (-4.1) | 135.6 (+9.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -2.5 (-5.5) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -2.5 (-5.5) | 135.0 (+10.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -2.6 (-5.6) | 135.5 (+9.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TNTC 82 – 74 USI |
| Jan 16, 2026 | USI 71 – 54 TNTC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TNTC 78 – 65 USI |
| Jan 3, 2025 | TNTC 68 – 64 USI |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TNTC 73 – 59 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#335) | -11.1 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#328) | -2.80 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#327) | -3.35 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#328) | 0.390 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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