Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | USI -130 TNTC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -1.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -0.6 (-13.6) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -0.9 (-13.9) | 146.6 (-3.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -0.2 (-13.2) | 143.1 (-0.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -0.2 (-13.2) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TNTC 82 – 74 USI |
| Jan 16, 2026 | USI 71 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | TNTC 68 – 64 USI |
| Feb 2, 2024 | USI 74 – 71 TNTC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TNTC 73 – 59 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#307) | -6.6 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#314) | -1.07 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#315) | -1.63 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#324) | 0.463 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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