Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NE -250 DEL +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NE -8.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -4.7 (-1.7) | 149.9 (+7.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -5.5 (-2.5) | 149.3 (+7.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -5.4 (-2.4) | 151.1 (+5.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -5.8 (-2.8) | 151.8 (+5.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | DEL 73 – 67 NE |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DEL 77 – 74 NE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEL 81 – 78 NE |
| Jan 16, 2023 | NE 59 – 58 DEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DEL 74 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#154) | -4.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#146) | -0.77 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#147) | -0.88 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#159) | 0.446 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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