Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -250 NE +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -7.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -5.5 (+0.5) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -5.5 (+0.5) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -5.2 (+0.8) | 138.9 (+1.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -6.0 (+0.0) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | NE 80 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DEL 77 – 74 NE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEL 81 – 78 NE |
| Jan 16, 2023 | NE 59 – 58 DEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DEL 74 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#156) | -3.8 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#168) | -0.58 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#166) | -0.57 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.474 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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