The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -6.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money DEL -250 / NE +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual DEL +3 159 Won
Massey DEL -7.3 (-4.3) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (+22.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DEL -6.8 (-3.8) 136.9 (+22.1) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -5.3 (-2.3) 136.9 (+22.1) 73% ✓
Baseline ML DEL -5.4 (-2.4) 137.3 (+21.7) 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DEL -5.6 (-2.6) 136.3 (+22.7) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2025 NE 80 – 77 DEL
Mar 1, 2024 DEL 73 – 67 NE
Mar 5, 2023 DEL 77 – 74 NE
Jan 16, 2023 NE 59 – 58 DEL
Feb 11, 2022 DEL 74 – 61 NE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL NE
Overall 17-16 10-20
Conference 8-10 6-12
Home 10-5 6-6
Away 4-10 3-12
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 69.4 65.3
Avg Pts Against 71.2 71.7
Massey -2.2 (#221) -6.0 (#277)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#198) -0.83 (#260)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#184) -1.09 (#263)
RPI 0.487 (#196) 0.460 (#255)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL NE
FG% 44.3% 42.3%
3PT% 31.8% 33.9%
REB / G 32.1 36.5
OREB / G 8.7 10.9
AST / TO 1.09 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 48.8%
TOV% 17.0% 21.7%
ORB% 25.5% 32.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 14.8%
DRB% 69.9% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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