Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -250 NE +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -5.6 (-2.6) | 136.3 (+22.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -6.8 (-3.8) | 136.9 (+22.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -5.3 (-2.3) | 136.9 (+22.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -5.4 (-2.4) | 137.3 (+21.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | NE 80 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DEL 73 – 67 NE |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DEL 77 – 74 NE |
| Jan 16, 2023 | NE 59 – 58 DEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DEL 74 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#221) | -6.0 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#198) | -0.83 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#184) | -1.09 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#196) | 0.460 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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