Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -5.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -4.4 (-1.4) | 135.6 (+15.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.5 (-1.5) | 137.3 (+13.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.3 (-1.3) | 138.4 (+12.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.9 (-1.9) | 136.7 (+14.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | NE 80 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DEL 73 – 67 NE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEL 81 – 78 NE |
| Jan 16, 2023 | NE 59 – 58 DEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DEL 74 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#228) | -8.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#205) | -1.20 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#203) | -1.40 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#198) | 0.437 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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