Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NE -110 DEL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | NE -1.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -0.1 (+1.1) | 137.0 (-20.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.9 (+0.1) | 138.7 (-21.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.6 (+0.4) | 138.1 (-21.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.1 (+0.9) | 138.1 (-21.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | NE 80 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DEL 73 – 67 NE |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DEL 77 – 74 NE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEL 81 – 78 NE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DEL 74 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#267) | -3.1 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#281) | 0.24 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#277) | 0.11 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#293) | 0.507 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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