Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -250 NE +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -9.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -6.2 (+6.8) | 134.0 (+1.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -8.1 (+4.9) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -7.8 (+5.2) | 136.5 (-1.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -8.1 (+4.9) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | NE 80 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DEL 73 – 67 NE |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DEL 77 – 74 NE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEL 81 – 78 NE |
| Jan 16, 2023 | NE 59 – 58 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#149) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#115) | -0.92 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#118) | -1.04 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#92) | 0.443 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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